Yahoo news reported, late Sunday, March 22nd, 2020, that Spanish Coronavirus “surged by 5,000 cases overnight.”
In a country with a population of approximately 47 million people, 5,000 cases of anything is nothing.
Chances of contracting, or being one of those 5,000, is a 1 in 9,400 chance, or .0.000106 percent.
One hundred days of this rate of growth, which is not going to happen, puts a Spaniard at risk of contracting the virus at 1 in 940, over 100 days, 1.06 percent. This does not represent rapid infection which is one condition of an epidemic, and it absolutely does not represent an epidemic in terms of total numbers infected.
Most important it does not represent the high mortality rate also needed to be qualified as epidemic. Under this “reported” worst case scenario, the chance of dying from “covid” is about 1 in 10,000. This means if you were to take 10,000 streets in Spain you would find one death
If Spain is the worst there is no epidemic anywhere, including Italy and thus, there certainly is no pandemic.